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    1. The trial protocols seem entirely reasonable; for...

      The trial protocols seem entirely reasonable; for a quick overview see Derek Lowe on The Vaccine Protocols. You can trust Lowe on this subject matter. I'd ignore the Haseltine article even though he...
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      Pattern drills like McAfee's five ball training...

      Pattern drills like McAfee's five ball training might help.
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      7,049

      To prevent fogging with a mask try a strip of...

      To prevent fogging with a mask try a strip of paper tape to seal the mask around the bridge of your nose.
    4. A vaccine that's 50% effective by FDA standards...

      A vaccine that's 50% effective by FDA standards wouldn't necessarily reduce your personal risk by the same amount. It would depend on many factors including your age, health, the prevalence of the...
    5. Not a freak thing. Reinfection will happen, but...

      Not a freak thing. Reinfection will happen, but how common it is and how long after initial infection it becomes more likely are open questions. We'll need to track many patients for a long time to...
    6. It will save lives, and if deployed intelligently...

      It will save lives, and if deployed intelligently (e.g., temporary immunity for essential workers) may push us in the direction of normal. But it won't get us there because of some inherent...
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      Very much as with parachutes (Parachute use to...

      Very much as with parachutes (Parachute use to prevent death and major trauma related to gravitational challenge: systematic review of randomised controlled trials), there hasn't been a randomized...
    8. It's a long way from this data set to any...

      It's a long way from this data set to any conclusions about vaccine durability. Reaction to a vaccine is unlikely to be identical to the reaction to the virus itself, and antibody dynamics only tell...
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      At this point it would be a surprise if we don't...

      At this point it would be a surprise if we don't have at least one vaccine in mass production by January. Cautiously optimistic for Tokyo Olympics in July 2021. But the rest of this year is too risky...
    10. Baal is on the money as usual. Asymptomatic...

      Baal is on the money as usual. Asymptomatic people -- meaning people who feel and seem healthy -- can be contagious. That's an established fact. It's probably the single most important reason why we...
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      They could have put cameras anywhere they wanted....

      They could have put cameras anywhere they wanted. Missed opportunity for great angles.
    12. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3MH-3ICY-N4 ...

      https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3MH-3ICY-N4

      First ~10 minutes on vaccine development. A few highlights: Moderna mRNA vaccine on track for 30,000 subject phase III trial beginning the first week of...
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      Tenergy 05 (harder) vs 05-FX (softer): 21454

      Tenergy 05 (harder) vs 05-FX (softer):
      21454
    14. The best data to assess current prevalence isn't...

      The best data to assess current prevalence isn't available for most communities. That would be PCR test results from a sufficiently large randomly selected population sample. You can estimate...
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      For whip action you can try a dotted note. Count...

      For whip action you can try a dotted note. Count "1 2 and 3," with the "and 3" fitting into one beat. The backward part of the whip is the "and," the forward part is the "3."
    16. Yes, definitely possible. As Baal wrote, his test...

      Yes, definitely possible. As Baal wrote, his test may have been a false positive but more likely he just wasn't very contagious when you met him. Viral shedding and transmissibility vary throughout...
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      Great shop. Force Pro Black on sale, excellent 7...

      Great shop. Force Pro Black on sale, excellent 7 ply blade.
    18. Short answer: I think the probability of no...

      Short answer: I think the probability of no vaccine is very small. However, the virus could become endemic even with an effective vaccine, although that wouldn't necessarily be a disaster.

      Long...
    19. Some encouraging news on the vaccine front....

      Some encouraging news on the vaccine front. According to a pre-print (ChAdOx1 nCoV-19 vaccination prevents SARS-CoV-2 pneumonia in rhesus macaques), the Oxford vaccine works in monkeys. What it did...
    20. I can't even give you a ballpark percentage. A...

      I can't even give you a ballpark percentage. A few observations, though:

      The mask that protects you will be the one your coach is wearing, not the one you're wearing.


      Masks that protect you...
    21. Definitely worth mentioning. Nobody should stop...

      Definitely worth mentioning. Nobody should stop or change medications because of something they read online about this virus. When in doubt check with your doctor. And please don't avoid going to the...
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      Timo's exceptionally strong. He plays a spin...

      Timo's exceptionally strong. He plays a spin based game but still he's able to attack at the highest level. Unlike Xu Xin, he does it with short explosive strokes. That takes unusual power. Also...
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      https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=E0pkHBVznLA

      https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=E0pkHBVznLA
    24. There are always surprises, but it would be a...

      There are always surprises, but it would be a real shocker if infection with this virus didn't generate a sustained adaptive immune response in most healthy people. Probably not a lifetime guarantee,...
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      Like NextLevel and laistrogian wrote, it's a...

      Like NextLevel and laistrogian wrote, it's a numbers game. The Chinese team draws from a bigger pool of players, so they're more likely to find the best talent. There are factors that explain this,...
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