Sorry but in my opinion I see no way for tiago to beat a chinese player. Beside the fact that all in all he is not the very stable in his performance at all, even losing against 100+ ranked players from time to time his A game is just to soft and his recent results like the 0:3 against timo don t show me that he is in a new and better condition. In the world ranking he is in top 30 and even top 20 for a while but players like gardos, lebesson, fegerl who are most the time behind tiago have more chance to get a shot at a big win. tiago is 0:2 down against zjk and 0:3 against xx head to head winning like 5 sets in 5 games. I really like watching tiagos playing style many spectacular rallies from half distance, but from the point of effectiveness he can beat guys like gauzy or niwa who are higher ranked but not the chinese dudes they kill him with this playing style.
I think mizutani is a good example for this changing his playing style in the last year more forward to the table not playing so much defense and now gets way better results than before. it s sad but with the beutiful playing style away from the table you dont win any big trophies.