We've Crossed the Finish Line
With the WTGF wrapped up, the Singles Race is over. Congratulations to Ito and Ishikawa for crossing the finish line first. For the first singles spot, Ito took it convincingly with almost a 4000-point lead in WR points over Ishikawa. A big reason for this is Ito’s improved consistency. She’s consistently gone deep in the majority of this year’s tournaments and didn’t lose against any non-Chinese foreigner this year. Even though she won one less tournament than last year, I consider this year to be her best in terms of overall performance.
In my opinion, in the race for the 2nd spot, everything was still up in the air until the North American Open concluded. That tournament pretty much determined not only the singles representative but the team composition as well. I mentioned earlier that Ishikawa and Hirano may withdraw from that tournament given the number of Chinese players entered and the fact that they can only gain a small number of points even if they won the tournament. I thought they might be better off focusing on the WTGF given concerns of jet lag. I'm glad they proved me wrong, and they defeated all Chinese players in their path to the final for the last singles spot. It was a tournament where both were called to step up, and they both did so after their shaky performances in the last quarter of the year.
Unfortunately for Hayata, that tournament was a big blow to her Olympic chances. There are two main arguments for selecting Hayata for the Olympic team: 1. She's the best doubles player on the national team and 2. She's more of a threat against Chinese players than her other teammates besides Ito. The first statement still holds true. However, the second statement was put in question after the tournament. The theory was that if Hirano and Ishikawa also started in the qualifications like Hayata and met Chinese opponents early on, Hayata would perform better. However, in this tournament, the opposite happened, and Hayata lost to the first Chinese opponent she faced while Ishikawa, Hirano, and Kato all defeated 2 Chinese opponents on their way to the Top 4. Hayata still had the best winning rate against Chinese players among the JNT this year, and no one can take that away from her. However, it's unfortunate she was unable to win when it mattered, which was in the NA Open where everyone was put on equal footing in facing Chinese players early. She'll have a chance at redemption in the WTTTC trials and next year's tournaments.
Lastly, I just want to thank everyone for your contributions to this thread. When I started this thread a few months ago, I never expected it to be so active. I honestly just expected to post updates of the WR points after each tournament but even Zeio took over that role by coming up with a better and more comprehensive spreadsheet to keep track of the race. I enjoyed reading the discussions in this thread and learned a lot from all of you. I also look forward to our future discussions especially with the Japan WTTTC trials/Top 12 coming up (still not sure if I should start a new thread or just use this thread for the discussion). While the tournament is technically only for determining a spot in the WTTTC next year, who knows what impact the performance of players in the tournament may have in their chances at the 3rd Olympic spot or at the very least, the Olympic alternate spot since the official announcement of these spots are still on Jan. 6, 2020.