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This user has no status.This user has no status.03-10-2020 1583806294 #141
For those who think both LSW and DN will play singles at the Tokyo Olympic, you’re missing a key point. In all previous Games since Seoul 1988, there was never a real threat to women’s gold metal. CNT selected players mainly based on overall performance and experience for big tournaments. This time around, however, that little girl by the name of Ito has almost single handedly unnerved the whole CNT establishment. They can’t afford to select players solely based on overall performance anymore. How well one can play against Ito is a huge factor. CM has won four out of four whereas DN lost to Ito in such a way that one sees not much hope of improvement in time for the Games. Also, this Qatar Open is not your ordinary platinum event. The CNT has been training for it for weeks realizing that this maybe the only tournament prior to decision time due the coronavirus outbreak.
One of them will play singles, not both. For now, LSW will prevail.The Following 2 Users Like Free bird's Post:
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This user has no status.This user has no status.03-10-2020 1583813489 #142
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This user has no status.This user has no status.03-10-2020 1583815592 #143
2020 ITTF World Tour Japan Open postponed due to COVID-19
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This user has no status.This user has no status.03-10-2020 1583816794 #144
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This user has no status.This user has no status.03-10-2020 1583817820 #145
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This user has no status.This user has no status.03-10-2020 1583820007 #146
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This user has no status.This user has no status.03-10-2020 1583820374 #147
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This user has no status.This user has no status.03-10-2020 1583830766 #148
Exactly the same as I thought back in January.
DN and LSW, unless the CNT get cold feet and deviate from how they normally select.
If they do get cold feet, it'll be LSW and SYS. With LSW's injury, CM now has a slight look at a distant fourth.
Personally I think selecting DN is problematic, but I suspect CNT will bank on her experience under real pressure, and their preparations to get her over the line (I think they think of her as the clear no 2 option after LSW anyway).
So depending on CNT cold feet and LSW injury, it'll probably be some combination of DN, LSW and SYS.
In the very unlikely scenario that CNT doesn't select DN AND they think LSW is too injured/fresh from injury to play XD and singles, only then SYS + CM will be possible.The Following 3 Users Like Hysteresis's Post:
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Last edited by Hysteresis; 03-10-2020 at 09:01 AM.
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This user has no status.This user has no status.03-11-2020 1583940997 #150
Yes ... In my opinion, the situation (KOVID-19) is now such that it is impossible to say what will happen in a few months ....
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This user has no status.This user has no status.03-11-2020 1583941067 #151
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This user has no status.This user has no status.03-11-2020 1583951628 #152
They may select Chen Meng, but the idea that someone cannot fix their game in 6 months to beat an opponent that they couldn't beat prior has been debunked multiple times in the past. If you remember there was a time that it was believed that the Chinese had decided Ito around this time last year especially with the WTTC results. Now we have Ito and Ding trading matches over the last 2 months and people are focused on the most recent result.
If the Olympics stay on schedule, a lot will depend on more interactions over the next few months.Cobra Kai TT Exponent - No mercy in this dojo, no matter your rating or the score. All spin, no power or footwork.
"We don't rise to the level of our expectations, we fall to the level of our training" - Archilochus
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This user has no status.This user has no status.03-11-2020 1583951763 #153
No, this is not true at all. Again you are focused on just one thing. The coaches have a more intimate view of these things. They will only leave Ding and Liu out if they truly believe that the problems are not fixable. And given how much adaptation those 2 have done throughout their careers, it will be saying a lot.
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Cobra Kai TT Exponent - No mercy in this dojo, no matter your rating or the score. All spin, no power or footwork.
"We don't rise to the level of our expectations, we fall to the level of our training" - Archilochus
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This user has no status.This user has no status.03-11-2020 1583951842 #154Cobra Kai TT Exponent - No mercy in this dojo, no matter your rating or the score. All spin, no power or footwork.
"We don't rise to the level of our expectations, we fall to the level of our training" - Archilochus
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This user has no status.This user has no status.03-12-2020 1583980403 #155
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This user has no status.This user has no status.03-12-2020 1583997416 #156
It has nothing to do with fairness. It's how the CNT values certain attributes over others.
The CNT tend to select more experience/achieved players not because of some weird commitment to fairness or two way loyalty. They select more experienced players because they value the ability to handle pressure and perform on the biggest stage much more than almost anything else (within reason).
The CNT are very much always trying to win gold (and usually silver as well). But they seem to be of the opinion that once you meet a baseline of mechanics, tactical/strategic savvy and fitness, the biggest factor that leads to winning is how a player holds up under extreme pressure, for which the Olympics is certainly the biggest occasion to exist in TT.
They very much seem to be of the opinion that they can make the adjustments to tactics/strategy/mechanics to push many of their top players over the line. A weak mentality/ability to handle genuine pressure is something that they are far less confident of fixing.The Following User Likes Hysteresis's Post:
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03-12-2020 1584011636 #157
give Chen Meng a chance that's I'd like, to see
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This user has no status.This user has no status.03-12-2020 1584015797 #158
It's partly true , but sometimes one player is just better then the other.
You make it sound that if you train for a certain player and adjust tactics that you are always going to win.
I don't agree with that.
Mima Ito will change her tactics too and will train too.
So it's an ever adjusting game between players.
You can see this in the Tennis world, Nadal, Federer, Djokovic dominate there for years and most of the time the form of the day makes the difference.
Otherwise Federer would have just made some tactical adjustments and then he would win every time against Djokovic?
You are right on the performing under pressure part, but as it stands now.
If I had to bet all my money between Ding Ning or Cheng Meng winning from Mima Ito, I would bet on Cheng Meng. She has proven she has the playstyle advantage against Mima and she has proven she can perform under pressure.The Following 2 Users Like ZeroTT's Post:
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This user has no status.This user has no status.03-12-2020 1584017036 #159
I don't disagree, I personally, believe DN would be a bad pick. Not because she can't beat Ito, but because she bears a greater risk of losing than other potential picks. But we are talking about how the CNT has, and probably will pick, not our personal preference.
But, keep in mind, they are not just picking for ability to handle pressure out of just anyone. They are starting from a list of candidates that already are all championship level anyway, proven by their... having won championships. That's what i meant by 'within reason'.
From that platform, the CNT thinks they can push any of these over the line with preparation. Is there risk that they don't? Sure. Ito is something of a special threat. But CNT has always treated the risk of breakdown under pressure as a greater threat than than the risk of being straight up outplayed.
While you think Chen Meng has proven she can perform under pressure, and frankly I think she's not that bad under pressure either. The CNT seems to disagree.
The problem is, the CNT has always viewed the entire world tour as a bit of a sideshow. They view the 'big tournaments' as Olympics and World Championships firstly, then continental championsips/world cups/ continental cups after that.
World tour performance is of so little importance in CNT reckoning, that if you are winning platinum tours and World tour grand finals, that's nice and cute, but it only shows your form, not your ability to handle pressure, because they consider the events to be of too little importance to constitute genuine pressure.Last edited by Hysteresis; 03-12-2020 at 01:45 PM.
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This user has no status.This user has no status.03-12-2020 1584018888 #160
If Chen Meng is such a riskless choice, can anyone explain why she has absolutely zero major continental or world titles to her name? Because she brings her best game at those moments?
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Cobra Kai TT Exponent - No mercy in this dojo, no matter your rating or the score. All spin, no power or footwork.
"We don't rise to the level of our expectations, we fall to the level of our training" - Archilochus