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Yeah I love the idea of the scatter plot. I think that is amazing. Also yes it will sum up to 100%, if you have 70% chance of winning the other person has 30%Just mucking around with a thought: for that Rating chart you showed, what if the y-axis represents the rating of the opponents. If you won against someone rated 1110 in April 2025, it would show as a green circle at the intersection of 1110 / Apr 25, If you lost, it would show as a red circle. Over time you'll get a scatter diagram of all your wins and losses against various rated players over time.
Oh, also, suppose you and I both use the app, and then we have a match. If the app predicts that you have a 75% chance of winning, will it show me to have a 25% chance of winning? Would the sum of the % be 100%?