Sabine Winter switches to antispin

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making a case out of an anomaly is not scientific, but shure you know that already. my analyses in this match: I would argue that short pips have an real advantage against spin reversal style rubbers like anti and long pips due to not being able to generate as much spin on their own and the dipping effect of short pips makes it harder for the off the bounce blocks where anti/pips player really thrive. and another one could be that some players are just better at adapting to different styles and some are less likely to do so. this is something that sabine always have to deal with so it isn’t as easy to tell and prepare for with unknown players.

yangzi liu played great! good win and well deserved
 
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making a case out of an anomaly is not scientific, but shure you know that already. my analyses in this match: I would argue that short pips have an real advantage against spin reversal style rubbers like anti and long pips due to not being able to generate as much spin on their own and the dipping effect of short pips makes it harder for the off the bounce blocks where anti/pips player really thrive. and another one could be that some players are just better at adapting to different styles and some are less likely to do so. this is something that sabine always have to deal with so it isn’t as easy to tell and prepare for with unknown players.

yangzi liu played great! good win and well deserved
Yangzi is a strong and mildly underachieving player. She was MVP of Ultimate TT the season before the last, had played some top players well but has also not been able to break through. I know one of her coaches so I am happy for her. She is young though so there is a lot of room for growth.

In addition to the pips, Sabine is much easier to play when her forehand is countered consistently and some players do this really well, others not so much.

We will see whether this becomes a trend or not - I suspect it isn't but Sabine is getting up there for women's TT, crazier things have happened. She isn't Elie Samara but you can see the trend with Elie and she will be Elie when LA rolls around.

All that said, the match was ultimately close, you could see the score pressure got to Sabine a little, if she made her forehand at 2-0, 9-9, the match could have turned around.
 
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making a case out of an anomaly is not scientific, but shure you know that already. my analyses in this match: I would argue that short pips have an real advantage against spin reversal style rubbers like anti and long pips due to not being able to generate as much spin on their own and the dipping effect of short pips makes it harder for the off the bounce blocks where anti/pips player really thrive. and another one could be that some players are just better at adapting to different styles and some are less likely to do so. this is something that sabine always have to deal with so it isn’t as easy to tell and prepare for with unknown players.

yangzi liu played great! good win and well deserved
Think about your statement. "Anti Winter" is an anomaly when you put it that way. How much have her wins since early 2025 been due to her anti rather than her inverted rubber?

The loss against LYZ, who said she was familiar with Winter's game in the on-court post-match interview, panned out more or less the same way as the one against Ojio Yuna, the very first match against a JNT player since her switch. DHK at WTT CS Montpellier 2025 and Moyland at SGP GS 2026 was about to win in much the same way but Winter managed to literally muscle her way through. How many times she will manage it is what the team must contemplate. She has nothing else to fall back on other than brute when her anti gets countered and that's a big no-no for someone aspiring to be an Olympian.

In denial. Count how many times Winter twiddled to attack with her inverted rubber after G2, essentially turning back into a double-inverted player. Her anti was hard-countered by Yuna. If she was merely demotivated by unforced errors, she could've used that opportunity to work on her anti game.
 

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Think about your statement. "Anti Winter" is an anomaly when you put it that way. How much have her wins since early 2025 been due to her anti rather than her inverted rubber?
but now you changed the argument. from the perspective of looking through the wtt players (opponents of sabines) eyes you are right that she and her anti is the exception. but your post was about looking through sabine eyes onto the players she faces.

i mean all of her wins are all about changing her playing style to anti and getting unbelievable good at it, so is this whole thread about that, so idk what you wanna say with your last sentence.

every player and playstyle has it's limitations and everyone on tour has some cryptonite even the ones in the top 10. sabine is just new to the anti game and need to find adjustment's for those situations and this for me is the real topic: if she is actually able to do so9? finding that out will lead her to olympic (or not)
 
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Think about your statement. "Anti Winter" is an anomaly when you put it that way. How much have her wins since early 2025 been due to her anti rather than her inverted rubber?

The loss against LYZ, who said she was familiar with Winter's game in the on-court post-match interview, panned out more or less the same way as the one against Ojio Yuna, the very first match against a JNT player since her switch. DHK at WTT CS Montpellier 2025 and Moyland at SGP GS 2026 was about to win in much the same way but Winter managed to literally muscle her way through. How many times she will manage it is what the team must contemplate. She has nothing else to fall back on other than brute when her anti gets countered and that's a big no-no for someone aspiring to be an Olympian.
You make it sound like beating Zhu Yuling and Wang Yidi is something other people from Europe are doing and that losing to Japanese ladies is something other people from Europe never do and this is why she should not play at the Olympics.

LYZ and Doo Hoi Kem are pretty strong players. Sally Moyland (becoming stronger) is an example of what a player who can play anti can do, but that is exactly why Sabine has to continue to build her forehand/inverted play as well as her anti game. And yes, brute force is what she has, ultimately, that is her style. The anti by itself is never going to get it done, her whole game is to set up the forehand. But a lot will depend on her ability to adapt and plug some of these gaps to a reasonable level, it's not as if Japan is going to field 6 female players at the Olympics.
 
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i am too pessimistic as usual. WR10 within reach then an Olympic medal
well the World Cup medal came first, it was almost more difficult to get this one as there was more than 2 Chinese players in the draw... ( but no need to win bronze medal match)

Heretics still in denial
 
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Think about your statement. "Anti Winter" is an anomaly when you put it that way. How much have her wins since early 2025 been due to her anti rather than her inverted rubber?

The loss against LYZ, who said she was familiar with Winter's game in the on-court post-match interview, panned out more or less the same way as the one against Ojio Yuna, the very first match against a JNT player since her switch. DHK at WTT CS Montpellier 2025 and Moyland at SGP GS 2026 was about to win in much the same way but Winter managed to literally muscle her way through. How many times she will manage it is what the team must contemplate. She has nothing else to fall back on other than brute when her anti gets countered and that's a big no-no for someone aspiring to be an Olympian.
CNT & JNT: Winter for LA28. 1 less spot going to someone new like Goda...

https://www.tabletennisdaily.com/fo...rld-cup-macao-2026-3-30-4-5.38996/post-570627
World Cup 2026
WS SF
SYS WR1 4-0 Winter WR12 (6, 6, 3, 5)
G1 44, 84, 85, 105, 106, 116
G2 64, 66, 116
After G2, Liu Yiu Cho is asking why WYD and QYX didn't use SYS' tactics, that is, serving long?
G3 61, 62, 92, 93, 113
Has Winter even landed one FH-steparound?
G4 30 TO for Winter, 31, 51, 54 1st successful FH-steparound for Winter?, 95, 105 Winter served off the table, 115

The RTHK32 host said it's a disappointing performance from Winter after the previous wins and color commentator Liu Yiu Cho added that if one knows how to play then it wouldn't get to G7, but if not, then it's directly a 0-4 loss.
 
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CNT & JNT: Winter for LA28. 1 less spot going to someone new like Goda...

https://www.tabletennisdaily.com/fo...rld-cup-macao-2026-3-30-4-5.38996/post-570627
World Cup 2026
WS SF
SYS WR1 4-0 Winter WR12 (6, 6, 3, 5)
G1 44, 84, 85, 105, 106, 116
G2 64, 66, 116
After G2, Liu Yiu Cho is asking why WYD and QYX didn't use SYS' tactics, that is, serving long?
G3 61, 62, 92, 93, 113
Has Winter even landed one FH-steparound?
G4 30 TO for Winter, 31, 51, 54 1st successful FH-steparound for Winter?, 95, 105 Winter served off the table, 115

The RTHK32 host said it's a disappointing performance from Winter after the previous wins and color commentator Liu Yiu Cho added that if one knows how to play then it wouldn't get to G7, but if not, then it's directly a 0-4 loss.
No reminders from @pongfugrasshopper required for this one, lol!
 
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The Bursting of the Anti-Spin Mumbo Jumbo : A Lament for Sabine Winter

At long last, the curtain has fallen, and the "wizardry" we were promised has been revealed as nothing more than a cheap stage trick. For years, we’ve been fed a steady diet of hype surrounding Sabine Winter, the supposed titan of the table who was going to revolutionize the game with her "secret weapon"—the infamous anti-spin rubber. We were told to expect tactical mastery, a psychological labyrinth that would leave opponents wandering in confusion.

Instead, the moment she stepped into the ring with a truly formidable opponent, the "unstoppable" Winter didn't just stumble; she evaporated.

Five points. That was the ceiling. Five measly points per set. That isn’t a professional scoreline; it’s a cry for help. Facing a high-caliber player acted like a needle to a balloon, leaving nothing behind but a shriveled piece of rubber and a very confused athlete.

This brings us to the real culprit of the evening: the much-vaunted anti-spin. For far too long, the cult of "alternative" equipment has preached that this rubber is an intellectual’s tool, a sophisticated counter-measure for the elite. Today’s debacle served as a public service announcement to the contrary. Anti-spin isn't a strategy; it’s a security blanket that catches fire the second someone on the other side of the table actually knows how to loop a ball.

As it turns out, this "magic" only works in dark basements against unsuspecting amateurs. Against a genuine master, the equipment transforms into exactly what it is: a useless, dead piece of scrap. Sabine Winter has provided the world with a masterclass in disappointment, proving that no amount of fancy gear can mask a lack of fundamental grit. The bubble hasn't just burst; it’s been obliterated.

Shall we look at the specific technical errors in her defense, or would you like to compare this to other high-profile equipment failures?

----------------------
By courtesy of Google Gemini v. 2.0
 
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It appears many, if not most, TT-News users aren't aware of Winter's H2H versus JNT players and some of them who are arguing with Wolf11 don't even have her H2H versus WYD right. It's also rather "disappointing" that only Wolf11 sees the top priority of the CNT here.

https://forum.tt-news.de/showpost.php?p=3871137&postcount=445
Wolf11 said:
Läuft es das ?.......Viele haben mit Sabine's Spiel Probleme, aber es gibt auch Gegenbeispiele.

Sabine leistet in der Tat großartige Leistungen.

Aber in China sind sie doch längst dabei, sich auf Sabine Winter einzustellen. Sie ist dort aber nicht die erste Priorität. Das sind dort Harimoto und Hashimoto.

Sun YingSha hat ja gestern gezeigt, wie es geht.

11:6, 11:6, 11:3, 11:5 war eine sehr deutliche Sprache. Dieses Spiel in seiner ganzen Klarheit wird in China eine Blaupause sein, wie man gegen Sabine spielen muss.......

Auch Wang ManYu und Chen Yi haben die "neue" Sabine schon relativ sicher geschlagen.......Man registriert Sabine's Erfolge in China mit Respekt, aber man stellt sich auf sie ein....aber klar oberste Priorität bleiben die Japanerinnen um Harimoto, Hashimoto und die nachkommenden jungen Spielerinnen dort.
(Is it working? Many have problems with Sabine's game, but there are also counterexamples.

Sabine is indeed achieving great things.

But in China, they're already preparing for Sabine Winter. She's not their top priority, though. That's Harimoto and Hashimoto.

Sun Yingsha showed how it's done yesterday.

11-6, 11-6, 11-3, 11-5 was a very clear statement. This match, in all its clarity, will be a blueprint in China for how to play against Sabine.

Wang Manyu and Chen Yi have also already beaten the "new" Sabine relatively easily. Sabine's successes in China are noted with respect, but they are preparing for her. However, the Japanese players around Harimoto, Hashimoto, and the up-and-coming young players there remain the top priority.)

https://forum.tt-news.de/showpost.php?p=3871596&postcount=456
Wolf11 said:
Man soll den Menschen ja nie ihre Illusion nehmen......

....da ist der Wunsch halt der Vater des Gedankens

Zunächst mal: Sabine ist an YiDi herangekommen, nicht umgekehrt. Das hat natürlich, damit zu tun, dass Sabine nicht mehr die Spielerin ist, die sie noch vor 2 Jahren war, weil sie ihren Spielstil umgestellt hat....

.....aber auch, dass YiDi nicht mehr die Spielerin ist, die sie noch vor 2 Jahren war, weil ihre Leistungskurve in den vergangenen Jahren deutlich nach unten ging.

Trotzdem stehen die Duelle der beiden aus den vergangenen Monaten 2:2....

.....und YiDi wird aus ihren Niederlagen lernen......genauso wie sie auch aus ihren Niederlagen gegen Honoka Hashimoto gelernt hat.....

Sabine Winter hat zuletzt Phantastische geleistet......Hey, sie ist derzeit die beste Spielerin Europa's......Das ist sensationell....

....aber von Sun YingSha ist sie meilenweit entfernt und daran wird sich auch nichts mehr ändern.....Leistungsmäßig ist Sabine von Shasha weiter entfernt als beispielsweise von Sophia Klee

Das ist dann nochmal eine ganz andere Sportart.......

Das Ergebnis von 11:6, 11:6, 11:3 und 11:5 war da schon ein realistisches Leistungsbild....

Seien wir doch einfach froh, dass Sabine so schöne Erfolge hat........und erfreuen uns daran, solange sie sie hat......

Wie man gegen sie spielen muss, haben u.a. zuletzt auch Spielerinnen gezeigt, die nicht oder nicht mehr in der Weltspitze sind wie Liu Yangzi oder Doo Hoi-Kem.....andere werden folgen......
(You should never shatter people's illusions...

...but wishful thinking is often the driving force.

First of all: Sabine caught up with YiDi, not the other way around. This is naturally related to the fact that Sabine is no longer the player she was two years ago, because she has changed her playing style...

...but also that YiDi is no longer the player she was two years ago, because her performance curve has declined significantly in recent years.

Nevertheless, the head-to-head record between the two from recent months stands at 2-2...

and YiDi will learn from her defeats... just as she learned from her defeats against Honoka Hashimoto...

Sabine Winter has been performing fantastically lately... Hey, she's currently the best player in Europe... That's sensational...

but she's miles away from Sun YingSha, and that's not going to change... In terms of performance, Sabine is further away from Shasha than, for example, from Sophia Klee.

That's a completely different sport altogether...

The score of 11-6, 11-6, 11-3, and 11-5 was a realistic reflection of her skill level...

Let's just be happy that Sabine is having such great successes... and enjoy them while she's having them...

How to play against her has recently been demonstrated by players who are not, or no longer, among the world's best, such as Liu Yangzi or Doo Hoi-Kem... others will follow...)

https://forum.tt-news.de/showpost.php?p=3871605&postcount=458
Wolf11 said:
Qin YuXuan locker weggeputzt ?

Ist das Dein Ernst ?

YuXuan ist Jugend-Weltmeisterin 2025.......Als diese hat sie die Vorrunde des Worldcups überstanden.....und steht auf Platz 27 der Weltrangliste...

Beides hat unsere deutsche Jugend-Weltmeisterin 2024, Frau Kaufmann, bis heute nicht geschafft......

.....und dies, obwohl YuXuan prsktisch keine großen Turniere spielen darf, weil sie Chinesin ist im Gegensatz zu Kaufmann, die jedes Turnier spielen darf.......Eine Riesenleistung

Und da schreibst Du über diese junge Sportlerin "weggeputzt" ?....

Sorry, aber das ist lächerlich.....

Dass es für Sabine, bei deren derzeitiger Leistung für YuXuan NOCH nicht gereicht hat, ist völlig normal..........aber die Zeit ist klar auf YuXuan's Seite

YuXuan hat als Jugend-Weltmeisterin beim Worldcup mehr erreicht, als jeder das erwarten konnte...Schau mal an, wen sie in der Vorrunde geschlagen hat.......
(Qin YuXuan easily dispatched?

Are you serious?

YuXuan is the 2025 Junior World Champion... As such, she made it through the preliminary round of the World Cup... and is ranked 27th in the world...

Our German Junior World Champion 2024, Ms. Kaufmann, hasn't achieved either of those things to this day...

...and this despite the fact that YuXuan is practically not allowed to play in major tournaments because she's Chinese, unlike Kaufmann, who is allowed to play in every tournament... A tremendous achievement

! And you write about this young athlete being "dismantled"?...

Sorry, but that's ridiculous...

That it wasn't quite enough for Sabine, given her current performance level, to beat YuXuan is perfectly normal... but time is clearly on YuXuan's side.

As Junior World Champion, YuXuan has achieved more at the World Cup than anyone could have expected... Just look at who she beat in the preliminary round...)
 
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Doesn't look good for GER if Winter admits the 3 members at Rio 2016 were superior to her at that time (meaning the team is overall weaker now) and LA28 will be her last chance.

And it seems the WTT article has been edited to leave out the part about the thought of retirement.

【卓球】「20年のスタイルを破壊」33歳ヴィンターが起こした奇跡
https://news.yahoo.co.jp/articles/bd2cb927924ac7db9b9ff8cbc80a898f4fca6157
2016年のリオ五輪でも、チームはメダルを獲得したが、ヴィンターの立場はリザーブ(交代選手)。コートの外から仲間の歓喜を見守るしかなかった。「当時の3人が私より優れていたのは事実」と冷静に受け止めつつも、会場の凄まじい熱狂を目の当たりにし、「次は自分の力でこの舞台に立ちたい」という野望が胸に刻まれた。

■「2028年ロス五輪が最後のチャンス」
一般的に30代は成長の限界を感じる時期とされるが、ヴィンターは「アジアの選手に比べて練習開始が遅かった分、20歳を過ぎてからの伸びしろがあった」と分析する。

https://news.yahoo.co.jp/articles/bd2cb927924ac7db9b9ff8cbc80a898f4fca6157/comments
kor*****
2日前

異質ラバーを貼る戦型として粒高ラバーを選ぶ人は結構いるけど、
このご時世にアンチラバーを貼る選択肢を取ったのは、勇気あるなあ、と思った。

何せ、先んじてやってる人が極めて少ない。
昔は高弾性ラバーとアンチラバーを同色で貼って相手を混乱させたが、
赤・黒ラバー使用の義務化で、出来なくなった。

あとは、アジア勢がいつ順応出来るか・・・
孫穎莎はきっちり対応していて流石と思ったけど、その他の中国勢も
そのままで居る訳が無いし、日本勢・韓国勢等も対応してくると思う。
(There are quite a few people who choose long-pimple rubber as a playing style that uses a different type of rubber,
but I thought it was brave of her to choose anti-spin rubber in this day and age.

After all, there are very few people who have done it before.
In the past, players would confuse their opponents by using high-elasticity rubber and anti-spin rubber in the same color,
but that's no longer possible with the mandatory use of red and black rubber.

The question is when the Asian players will be able to adapt...
Sun Yingsha has adapted well, which I thought was impressive, but the other Chinese players
won't stay the same, and I think the Japanese and Korean players will also adapt.
)
12 concur, 6 ic, 5 hmm

卓球女子トップ10入りの33歳ヴィンターが迎えた分岐点「引退を考えた時期があった」 WTT公式が特集で「素晴らしい物語を紡ぐ」と期待
https://spread-sports.jp/archives/382914
記事では、16カ月前にはトップ40入りを果たせていなかったヴィンターについて、「卓球への情熱を失い、引退を考えていた時期があった」と紹介。キャリアの分岐点に立つ中、ラバーをアンチラバーに変更する決断を下した。2023年から24年にかけて新たなプレースタイルをコーチと模索し、新ラケットへの適応期間を経て、25年以降の躍進につなげたと伝えている。

How Sabine Winter’s Radical Style Switch Propelled Her To World No.9
https://www.worldtabletennis.com/description?artId=6061
 
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Doesn't look good for GER if Winter admits the 3 members at Rio 2016 were superior to her at that time (meaning the team is overall weaker now) and LA28 will be her last chance.
Can you explain the underlying logic? You mean that because the players on the team 9 years ago were better than she was 9 years ago., what should we learn from that?
 
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Winter 3 vs WYD 0

while

Winter 0 vs Odo 3

The above scenario is playing in my mind and after some pondering, here is my take, plainly for discussion sake.

1. WYD, being from the CNT training camp pay heavy emphasis on spin and this is countered nicely by Sabine's anti rubber, meanwhile;
2. Odo's style typical of JNT emphasizes speed more than rotation. Hence, style wise if less affected by Sabine's anti rubber.
I spoke to a club veteran player from my club and he concurs.

So guys, what do you think. Is my half baked idea plausible or am I completely wrong?
 
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Winter 3 vs WYD 0

while

Winter 0 vs Odo 3

The above scenario is playing in my mind and after some pondering, here is my take, plainly for discussion sake.

1. WYD, being from the CNT training camp pay heavy emphasis on spin and this is countered nicely by Sabine's anti rubber, meanwhile;
2. Odo's style typical of JNT emphasizes speed more than rotation. Hence, style wise if less affected by Sabine's anti rubber.
I spoke to a club veteran player from my club and he concurs.

So guys, what do you think. Is my half baked idea plausible or am I completely wrong?
Odo and Wang are more similar than different, a lot comes down to experience playing against such players, ability to read differences in spin and the ability to control the spin you generate so it doesn't overwhelm you when the ball is returned by the pips.
 
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Odo and Wang are more similar than different, a lot comes down to experience playing against such players, ability to read differences in spin and the ability to control the spin you generate so it doesn't overwhelm you when the ball is returned by the pips.
I still cannot wrap my head around this concept that Wang Yidi who is not a noob in the Pro Tours is unable to adapt to difference in spin or control the spin. It still cannot explain the disparity in the outcome btw WYD vs Odo against Sabine.
 
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