This user has no status.
This user has no status.
Well-Known Member
This is an excellent post. I am fan of 3 blue, one brown. The key point is the inflection point. Note that China claims that the number of infected is dropping. This would mean the inflection point is reached. However, notice that the number of infect still goes up way beyond the time the inflection point is reached.Vaccine research has a big head start because of work done on related viruses like the ones that cause SARS and MERS. That's great news, but still we're unlikely to have a widely available vaccine before the end of this year or more likely months into next year. It's not impossible we'll have something sooner, given the unprecedented resources that are coming on line, but we shouldn't expect it. Better chance for some effective antiviral medications to be identified in the next six months. There's also some promising research on temporary immune modulation using monoclonal antibodies.
Right now we should be sufficiently worried about the coming weeks and months (good explanation why in the linked video). Washing hands, social distancing and other reasonable precautions should be taken seriously.
The 3 blue, one brown video did not address what would happen if 10% of the infected die.
Modeling this pandemic requires a few differential equations that must be solved simultaneously.
Who ever says they have this under control is a liar.
I am p!$$ed. I am 66 and I know I will get the Wuhan virus soon or later. Hopefully there is a vaccine before I get it.