WTT CS Montpellier 2025
WS R32
Odo (8) 2-3 Zeng Jian (8, -9, -10, 10, -2)
曾尖把大藤干掉了 桥本夺冠有希望吗。。。 (
Zeng Jian defeated Odo. Does Hashimoto have a chance to win the title?)
https://tieba.baidu.com/p/10170013806
bsddyhjsnz 大藤是真水啊,一个逆旋转吃到饱,相持也打不过闭关修炼,感觉就修炼了那么几个衔接和固定套路,一旦人家变一变,他就不会了,最后一局那个大跳水。本来之前还担心接下来1600分桥本不参加,冠军赛限四不会又打不了了吧?结果早田和大腾都一轮游了。还好一点。这站如果桥本多拿点分,就更保险了。
桥本那个小区4/4区应该没什么问题 半决赛就看是打美合还是牛迪了,如果牛迪能把小盒干掉。说实话,我觉得半决赛也有赢的希望。之前赢过两次。上一次中国大满贯在t2那个场子太小了,不利于削球的跑动,而且他才输过,肯定心里有准备吧。如果真能进决赛,说实话,上半区不管是谁出来,大概率是朱雨玲,也打不过。这么看,真有希望夺冠也算是机会比较大的了。
不过从上次北满赢了桥本之后,我就觉得牛迪的状态很好,她和sys打的时候很强势,速度快相持好。感觉赢小盒应该没什么问题,就是看这一次第一次打bo7的桥本怎么样了,我觉得牛迪夺冠的概率也挺大,如果牛迪赢了桥本,我感觉他打朱雨玲应该没什么问题。
IP属地:湖南来自Android客户端1楼2025-10-30 06:35回复
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Odo is really weak, eating the reverse pendulum to death, and also couldn't keep up in rallies. Training in seclusion [TL's note: skipping SCT London 2025], it seems she's only mastered a few transitions and set plays; once the opponent varied a bit, she was lost. Her dramatic dive in the last game was a prime example. I was worried that Hashimoto wouldn't be participating in the 1600-point tournaments [CS Frankfurt 2025 and SCT Muscat 2025], and that she might miss out on the 4-per-NER CS again. But both Hayata and Odo were eliminated in the first round, which is a bit better. If Hashimoto gets more points in this tournament, it'll be more secure.
Hashimoto should have no problem in her quarter. The semifinals depend on whether she faces Miwa or Cow [strong/amazing] Di. If Cow Di can beat Little Carton, honestly, I think she has a shot to win the semifinals. She's won twice before. Last time at the China Smash, the T2 court was too small, which wasn't good for her defensive style, and she had just lost, so she must have been prepared. If she really makes it to the final, honestly, whoever comes out of the upper half of the draw, it's highly likely to be Zhu Yuling, and she probably won't be able to beat her. So, it seems like she has a pretty good chance of winning the title. However, ever since beating Hashimoto last time at China Smash, I've felt that Cow Di is in great form. She was very strong when she played against SYS, fast and good in rallies. I feel that beating Little Carton shouldn't be a problem. It just depends on how she performs in her first best-of-7 match against Hashimoto. I think Cow Di has a pretty high chance of winning the title. If Cow Di beats Hashimoto, I feel that she should have no problem beating Zhu Yuling.)
LGTF 大藤就高光了那一次,当然也是在蒙彼利埃,去年夺冠,以为是黑马,结果昙花一现,这次居然能一轮游,她要上奥运单打,估计都打不到国乒面前,现在外战最稳的还是桥本,上下限都高,除了赢不了国乒俩仨主力,日本俩三个,其他的都有希望赢。
IP属地:黑龙江来自iPhone客户端4楼2025-10-30 06:55收起回复
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Odo's highlight was only once, in Montpellier, where she won the title last year and was considered a dark horse, but it turned out to be a flash in the pan. This time, she was eliminated in the first round. If she wants to compete in the Olympic singles, she probably won't even be able to stand in front of the CNT.
Right now, the most consistent player in foreign wars is still Hashimoto, with a high ceiling and a low floor. Except for the two or three main players of CNT and two or three of JNT, she has a chance to beat everyone else.)
石洵瑶(迷妹版): 大藤世乒赛还挺稳的,单打八强,混双决赛,就女双一号种子失误了
2025-10-30 11:27回复
(Odo played quite consistently at WTTC, reaching the quarterfinals in singles and the final in mixed doubles, except for the mistake as the top seed in women's doubles)
bsddyhjsnz: 回复 石洵瑶(迷妹版) :混双确实打的好,没话说,但是大疼一疼,这一年签水到爆好吗?一堆的八强,175分。你看美合还有桥本的签被针对成啥样了,美合我记得上一站啥比赛第一轮打韩赢,第二轮打温特。这签真的不水了吧?而且今年也打了很多次削球,多哈打了金琴英,然后每次都是绝对主力的小区,就连早田都要打诚信同,伊藤只用打二宝
2025-10-30 14:45回复
(
She played exceptionally well the mixed doubles, no doubt about it, but let's be honest, the draw this year has been incredibly weak. A bunch of QF, 175 points. Look at how targeted Miwa and Hashimoto's draws were. I remember Miwa faced Han Ying in the first round and Winter in the second round of some tournament last time. This draw is really not weak, is it? And this year she's faced many defensive players, including KKM in Doha, and every time she was in the quarter of main players. Even Hayata had to play against CXT,
and Ito only had to play against Second Treasure [WYD].)
白天蓝云飞 桥本前四应该稳了,但是半决赛看打大迪还是美和,如果打美和大概率输,打大迪的话,应该五五开。毕竟上次刚输了,这次肯定会有所准备,而且上次输大迪那次,第三局也是拿到局点了的,只是被逆转了,而且上次二号桌宽度不够,限制了桥本的发挥,这次都在一号桌,关注度极高,大迪在重压之下很容易发挥失常。所以桥本还是很有机会进决赛的。如果进了决赛,不管是打斯佐科斯,还是朱雨玲陈熠,胜算都是很大的。
IP属地:四川来自Android客户端11楼2025-10-30 08:21收起回复
(Hashimoto should be a shoo-in for the top four, but the semifinals depend on whether she faces Big Di or Miwa. She'll likely lose to Miwa, but against Big Di, it's probably 50/50. After all, she just lost last time, so she'll definitely be better prepared this time. And last time she lost to Big Di, she had game point in the third game but was reversed. Also, last time T2 wasn't wide enough, limiting Hashimoto's performance. This time, everyone's on T1, with extremely high attention,
and Big Di could easily underperform under that pressure. Therefore, Hashimoto still has a good chance of reaching the final. If she does reach the final, her chances of winning are very high, whether she faces Szocs, Zhu Yuling, or Chen Yi.)
nbcsest 大藤就是日本女队这几年来最差的主力没有之一,到目前一个主力都没赢过就不多说了(没记错的话连决胜局都没打到过),输非中国队的其他外协次数也是最多的,好像已经输了11次了,不算桥本的话,其他按日本10月NT名单成员分别是:美和4次,伊藤5次,早田6次,长崎3次
IP属地:江苏来自iPhone客户端16楼2025-10-30 08:41收起回复
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Odo is arguably the worst main player on the JPN WT in recent years. She hasn't won against any of the main players so far (if I remember correctly, she hasn't even reached the final game).
She also has the most losses to non-CNT players, I think she's lost 11 times already. Excluding Hashimoto, the other members on the October JNT roster are: Miwa 4 times, Ito 5 times, Hayata 6 times, and Nagasaki 3 times.)
开心果苹果脸: 跟蒯曼决胜局过。
2025-10-30 11:13回复
(She's played the final game against KM.)
MiNiMiJi 蒙彼利埃不相信预测 看第一轮桥本的状态还是挺麻的 失误多 跑动跟她自己比慢了 进攻状态也很碎
IP属地:湖南来自iPhone客户端19楼2025-10-30 08:56收起回复
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I don't believe in predictions for Montpellier. Hashimoto's performance in the first round was quite poor as she made many mistakes, her movement was slower than usual, and her attacking state was fragmented)
派大星大王🐬 曾尖逆转伊藤,又能把大藤打下去,最近状态不错
IP属地:福建24楼2025-10-30 10:24收起回复
(Zeng Jian reversed Ito and defeated Odo, showing good form recently)
亞達姆 大藤本來就沒有日女主力硬實力
IP属地:中国香港来自iPhone客户端25楼2025-10-30 11:17回复
(
Odo never had the raw strength of top JPN women)
aleenxuyi 我觉得桥本如果对上王艺迪还是很难赢,其实大迪的配置应该是不怕削球的就是没脑子,连着打了好几次再怎么没脑子也该学会了
IP属地:江苏来自Android客户端26楼2025-10-30 12:35回复
(I think Hashimoto would have a hard time beating Wang Yidi. Actually, Yidi's setup should not fear chops, but she just lacks the brains. After playing so many times, even the most brainless player should have learned something by now)